TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122820
Played Sep 13Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
31141111866––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:56 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-6
Point 60 set 4, 6-6 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 63.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 42–90 Maksym Hubenko Dmytro Prylepa has won 42 of their 132 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-90 in 132
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 48 in 132, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1489 vs Hubenko 1662
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Hubenko 20%
Prylepa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Hubenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Hubenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 2.50 / Hubenko 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122820
Prylepa2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 48 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back11% 10 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Hubenko1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 235 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it94% 117 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa3wins
AwayHubenko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa75%3 of 4
AwayHubenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Prylepa6Hubenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa2Hubenko3n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
S5Prylepa1Hubenko4n = 5Hubenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaHubenkoP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.141.1−2.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 804 vs 552 / 104149.1%53%395 / 804 vs 552 / 1041Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoPrylepa 2.50/Hubenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 07:00D. Prylepa2210570M. Hubenko341211113
LSep 4 · 07:00D. Prylepa48911512112M. Hubenko531181110133
LAug 31 · 07:00D. Prylepa4651311982M. Hubenko531111911113
WAug 30 · 14:30D. Prylepa341211113M. Hubenko1910360
WAug 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa381116113M. Hubenko3181490
LAug 20 · 05:00D. Prylepa2458110M. Hubenko351111133
LAug 16 · 17:30D. Prylepa52131118282M. Hubenko591162011113
LAug 16 · 13:30D. Prylepa2477100M. Hubenko341111123
WAug 13 · 08:00D. Prylepa46116117113M. Hubenko3441161122
LAug 12 · 10:30D. Prylepa5710121211122M. Hubenko591210149143
D. Prylepa10
LSep 13 · 13:30D. Prylepa2.63861151O. Syksa1.4411117113WSep 13 · 12:00D. Prylepa2.631111123S. Aristarkhov1.4477100WSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113LSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861LSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280LSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman3.25111169113D. Prylepa1.3338111192LSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890LSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842
M. Hubenko10
LSep 13 · 14:00A. Vasylets2.5011611793M. Hubenko1.5051161172WSep 13 · 12:30O. Syksa2.63137413102M. Hubenko1.4411111111113LSep 11 · 16:30M. Hubenko2.753220R. Ivanov1.401111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Hubenko3.2591280A. Kasyanov1.331114113LSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko2.1513163143A. Lushchyk1.62111411121LSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981LSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113
Upcoming Matches
D. Prylepa
M. Hubenko
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