TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111107
Played Sep 11Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119611911––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 82.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 11–79 Ivan Fedoryshyn Maksym Hubenko has won 11 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-79 in 90
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 68 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1674 vs Fedoryshyn 1868
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 20% vs Fedoryshyn 40%
Fedoryshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 50% vs Fedoryshyn 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -2 · Fedoryshyn -3
Fedoryshyn
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 4.00 / Fedoryshyn 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13111107
Hubenko4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 63
Fedoryshyn1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 201 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it85% 163 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko0wins
AwayFedoryshyn10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko0%0 of 5
AwayFedoryshyn100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko2Fedoryshyn8n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S3Hubenko2Fedoryshyn8n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S4Hubenko1Fedoryshyn6n = 7Fedoryshyn took 6 of 7
S5Hubenko0Fedoryshyn3n = 3Fedoryshyn took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoFedoryshynH − FBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.540.9−8.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1037 vs 559 / 84253.1%66.4%551 / 1037 vs 559 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynHubenko 4.00/Fedoryshyn 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 14:30M. Hubenko—105111192I. Fedoryshyn—121192113
LAug 7 · 07:00M. Hubenko—11116372I. Fedoryshyn—671111113
LAug 2 · 12:30M. Hubenko—89100I. Fedoryshyn—1111123
LJul 13 · 06:00M. Hubenko—116371I. Fedoryshyn—91111113
LJul 10 · 11:00M. Hubenko—10470I. Fedoryshyn—1211113
LJul 9 · 15:00M. Hubenko—5870I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
LJul 6 · 06:58M. Hubenko—11119962I. Fedoryshyn—871111113
LJul 5 · 10:00M. Hubenko—981131I. Fedoryshyn—11119113
LJun 30 · 10:30M. Hubenko—1110871I. Fedoryshyn—91211113
LJun 21 · 09:30M. Hubenko—115981I. Fedoryshyn—91111113
M. Hubenko10
LSep 11 · 14:00M. Hubenko3.2591280A. Kasyanov1.331114113LSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko2.1513163143A. Lushchyk1.62111411121LSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981LSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113WSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 11 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5311411972S. Chuhai2.38611411113LSep 11 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.1011911163I. Fedoryshyn1.678118141LSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5769130A. Kasyanov2.251111153WSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 15:30A. Lushchyk2.638760I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113WSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:30A. Kasyanov2.0098100I. Fedoryshyn1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113
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