TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111007
Played Sep 11Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111214811––––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeArtem Kasyanov to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 65 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Artem Kasyanov at 75.3%
65 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 39–73 Artem Kasyanov Maksym Hubenko has won 39 of their 112 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kasyanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-73 in 112
Kasyanov
Correct
gap of 34 in 112, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1682 vs Kasyanov 1850
Kasyanov
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 40% vs Kasyanov 20%
Hubenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 50% vs Kasyanov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -1 · Kasyanov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kasyanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 3.25 / Kasyanov 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Kasyanov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111007
Hubenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 63
Kasyanov1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 70 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko3wins
AwayKasyanov7wins
Kasyanov leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayKasyanov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko3Kasyanov7n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S2Hubenko4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko1Kasyanov3n = 4Kasyanov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoKasyanovH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.435.6−4.2per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1036 vs 401 / 70453.2%57%551 / 1036 vs 401 / 704Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovHubenko 3.25/Kasyanov 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:00M. Hubenko—1111123A. Kasyanov—96100
LAug 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko—811951A. Kasyanov—11811113
LAug 7 · 09:30M. Hubenko—62130A. Kasyanov—1111153
LAug 2 · 16:59M. Hubenko—139881A. Kasyanov—111111113
LAug 2 · 16:00M. Hubenko—141170A. Kasyanov—1613113
LJul 31 · 11:30M. Hubenko—28140A. Kasyanov—1111163
WJul 26 · 11:00M. Hubenko—1111113A. Kasyanov—6870
WJul 24 · 11:00M. Hubenko—61113113A. Kasyanov—1181141
LJul 19 · 08:30M. Hubenko—691171A. Kasyanov—11119113
LJul 17 · 08:00M. Hubenko—78100A. Kasyanov—1111123
M. Hubenko10
LSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko2.1513163143A. Lushchyk1.62111411121LSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981LSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113WSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5769130A. Kasyanov2.251111153LSep 10 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311611113A. Kasyanov1.44811861LSep 10 · 15:00A. Kasyanov1.73412371R. Ivanov2.00111011113LSep 10 · 13:30A. Kasyanov2.0098100I. Fedoryshyn1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 8 · 17:34A. Kasyanov3.25148811113M. Baday1.33121111262WSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113
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