TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106559
Played Sep 10Finished
Ruslan Ivanov
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311115119118––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Ivanov above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 73.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Ivanov 4–1 Maksym Hubenko Maksym Hubenko has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Ivanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Ivanov
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanov 1860 vs Hubenko 1687
Ivanov
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanov 80% vs Hubenko 60%
Ivanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanov 50% vs Hubenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanov +4 · Hubenko -1
Ivanov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ivanov) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanov 1.53 / Hubenko 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Ivanov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13106559
Ivanov1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 44 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Hubenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 45 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeIvanov4wins
AwayHubenko1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderIvanov leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHubenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanov2Hubenko3n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
S2Ivanov2Hubenko3n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
S3Ivanov3Hubenko2n = 5Ivanov took 3 of 5
S4Ivanov3Hubenko0n = 3Ivanov took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricIvanovHubenkoI − HBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match41.039.2+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanovHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 96 vs 550 / 103366.7%53.2%64 / 96 vs 550 / 1033Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovIvanov 1.53/Hubenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 31 · 06:00R. Ivanov—11133123M. Hubenko—41111101
WJul 30 · 14:30R. Ivanov—1371813113M. Hubenko—1511161192
WJul 24 · 04:30R. Ivanov—1111113M. Hubenko—2780
WJul 10 · 10:00R. Ivanov—861111113M. Hubenko—11117982
LJul 9 · 16:00R. Ivanov—76110M. Hubenko—1111133
R. Ivanov10
LSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 15:00A. Kasyanov1.73412371R. Ivanov2.00111011113WSep 10 · 14:00A. Lushchyk3.504780R. Ivanov1.281111113WSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 10 · 17:29M. Hubenko2.1513163143A. Lushchyk1.62111411121LSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113WSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112
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