TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105794
Played Sep 10Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711811––––
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:43 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 75.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 1–8 Ruslan Ivanov Andrii Lushchyk has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Ivanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Ivanov
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1688 vs Ivanov 1839
Ivanov
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 0% vs Ivanov 40%
Ivanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 10% vs Ivanov 30%
Ivanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -5 · Ivanov +2
Lushchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Ivanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanov form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 3.50 / Ivanov 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 76%
Edge (Ivanov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105794
Lushchyk3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 39 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 80
Ivanov1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 44 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLushchyk1wins
AwayIvanov8wins
2 of 9 to a deciderIvanov leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayIvanov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk2Ivanov7n = 9Ivanov took 7 of 9
S2Lushchyk1Ivanov8n = 9Ivanov took 8 of 9
S3Lushchyk2Ivanov7n = 9Ivanov took 7 of 9
S4Lushchyk2Ivanov3n = 5Ivanov took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricLushchykIvanovL − IBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match29.139.2−10.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 805 vs 62 / 9446.1%66%371 / 805 vs 62 / 94Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovLushchyk 3.50/Ivanov 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 27 · 17:09A. Lushchyk—6680R. Ivanov—1111113
WAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk—411811153R. Ivanov—115116132
LAug 14 · 12:00A. Lushchyk—111151132R. Ivanov—613116113
LAug 6 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—361131R. Ivanov—11118113
LJul 31 · 09:00A. Lushchyk—165651R. Ivanov—141111113
LJul 24 · 06:00A. Lushchyk—6760R. Ivanov—1111113
LJul 23 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—991181R. Ivanov—11116113
LJul 16 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—68100R. Ivanov—1111123
LJul 9 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—5390R. Ivanov—1111113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.201111113A. Lushchyk4.334680LSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123
R. Ivanov10
WSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk3.75411811153R. Ivanov1.25115116132LAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.