TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094663
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411411––––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 68.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 39–120 Ivan Fedoryshyn Andrii Lushchyk has won 39 of their 159 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-120 in 159
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 81 in 159, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1734 vs Fedoryshyn 1877
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 20% vs Fedoryshyn 80%
Fedoryshyn
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 50% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -3 · Fedoryshyn +2
Lushchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 2.63 / Fedoryshyn 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094663
Lushchyk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 39 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 82
Fedoryshyn1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 162 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk4wins
AwayFedoryshyn6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk60%3 of 5
AwayFedoryshyn80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S2Lushchyk6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S3Lushchyk6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S4Lushchyk3Fedoryshyn4n = 7Fedoryshyn took 4 of 7
S5Lushchyk0Fedoryshyn3n = 3Fedoryshyn took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykFedoryshynL − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.3−1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 810 vs 567 / 84846.3%66.9%375 / 810 vs 567 / 848Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynLushchyk 2.63/Fedoryshyn 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—11711113I. Fedoryshyn—911191
WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk—81111113I. Fedoryshyn—117581
WSep 3 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—7990
LSep 1 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—131111792I. Fedoryshyn—156811113
WAug 27 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—1111123I. Fedoryshyn—98100
LAug 25 · 17:30A. Lushchyk—1011791I. Fedoryshyn—12711113
LAug 25 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—7131012102I. Fedoryshyn—11111210123
LAug 18 · 16:59A. Lushchyk—11113101I. Fedoryshyn—91311123
LAug 18 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—15211762I. Fedoryshyn—1311811113
LAug 14 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—5380I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780
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