TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094677
Played Sep 8Finished
Maksym Baday
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311411––––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Baday to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Baday above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 47 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Maksym Baday at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Baday 124–108 Ivan Fedoryshyn Ivan Fedoryshyn has won 108 of their 232 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baday
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
124-108 in 232
Baday
Wrong
gap of 16 in 232, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baday 1936 vs Fedoryshyn 1885
Baday
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baday 80% vs Fedoryshyn 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baday 80% vs Fedoryshyn 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baday +4 · Fedoryshyn +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baday)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaday 1.80 / Fedoryshyn 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Baday)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13094677
Baday1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 242 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it96% 132 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 178 of 208
Fedoryshyn1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 38 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaday4wins
AwayFedoryshyn6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaday57.1%4 of 7
AwayFedoryshyn100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baday7Fedoryshyn3n = 10Baday took 7 of 10
S2Baday5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S3Baday5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Baday2Fedoryshyn5n = 7Fedoryshyn took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadayFedoryshynB − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.238.1−0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadayFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 736 vs 559 / 84075.5%66.6%556 / 736 vs 559 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayBaday 1.80/Fedoryshyn 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 15:30M. Baday—1112591I. Fedoryshyn—131011113
LAug 18 · 15:30M. Baday—1141111132I. Fedoryshyn—811813153
LAug 14 · 14:00M. Baday—121110992I. Fedoryshyn—1081211113
LAug 13 · 15:30M. Baday—691181I. Fedoryshyn—11117113
WAug 11 · 14:00M. Baday—1311113I. Fedoryshyn—11880
WAug 6 · 14:00M. Baday—11117113I. Fedoryshyn—891171
LAug 4 · 17:28M. Baday—7460I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
LAug 4 · 15:30M. Baday—1169101I. Fedoryshyn—91111123
WAug 2 · 17:29M. Baday—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—6850
WAug 2 · 13:30M. Baday—11611113I. Fedoryshyn—711861
M. Baday10
WSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn2.006111241M. Baday1.7311814113WSep 1 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111113S. Chuhai3.009890WSep 1 · 15:30M. Baday1.141311113A. Lushchyk5.0011570LSep 1 · 14:00M. Baday1.80411101182I. Fedoryshyn1.91115123113LSep 1 · 13:00M. Baday1.30611541A. Kasyanov3.4011811113WAug 28 · 17:30A. Kasyanov3.50115811102M. Baday1.28911117123WAug 28 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn2.101110871M. Baday1.6791211113WAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152WAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn2.006111241M. Baday1.7311814113WSep 1 · 14:00M. Baday1.80411101182I. Fedoryshyn1.91115123113LAug 28 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn2.101110871M. Baday1.6791211113
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