TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094614
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412111611115––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 65.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 90–147 Ivan Fedoryshyn Serhii Chuhai has won 90 of their 237 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
90-147 in 237
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
gap of 57 in 237, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1751 vs Fedoryshyn 1902
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 80% vs Fedoryshyn 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 80% vs Fedoryshyn 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai +1 · Fedoryshyn +4
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.50 / Fedoryshyn 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094614
Chuhai2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Fedoryshyn1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 162 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai2wins
AwayFedoryshyn8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai33.3%2 of 6
AwayFedoryshyn100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S2Chuhai2Fedoryshyn8n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S3Chuhai5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Chuhai0Fedoryshyn6n = 6Fedoryshyn took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiFedoryshynC − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.436.7−4.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 959 vs 560 / 84150.8%66.6%487 / 959 vs 560 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynChuhai 2.50/Fedoryshyn 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai—491171I. Fedoryshyn—11115113
LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai—961171I. Fedoryshyn—11116113
LSep 3 · 13:30S. Chuhai—138961I. Fedoryshyn—111111113
LSep 1 · 15:00S. Chuhai—1151061I. Fedoryshyn—91112113
WAug 25 · 15:00S. Chuhai—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—3930
LAug 25 · 14:00S. Chuhai—1110111072I. Fedoryshyn—912812113
LAug 21 · 15:00S. Chuhai—85130I. Fedoryshyn—1111153
LAug 20 · 12:30S. Chuhai—3580I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
WAug 18 · 14:30S. Chuhai—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—9880
LAug 13 · 13:30S. Chuhai—119781I. Fedoryshyn—81111113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113WSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113
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