TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094665
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111614116––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 84 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 64.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 55–104 Andrii Lushchyk Serhii Chuhai has won 55 of their 159 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lushchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-104 in 159
Lushchyk
Wrong
gap of 49 in 159, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1739 vs Lushchyk 1725
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 80% vs Lushchyk 20%
Chuhai
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 70% vs Lushchyk 40%
Chuhai
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai -1 · Lushchyk -4
Lushchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lushchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.50 / Lushchyk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lushchyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094665
Chuhai2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Lushchyk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 113 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it97% 64 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it80% 84 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai3wins
AwayLushchyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai50%2 of 4
AwayLushchyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai4Lushchyk6n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S2Chuhai5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Chuhai2Lushchyk8n = 10Lushchyk took 8 of 10
S4Chuhai2Lushchyk4n = 6Lushchyk took 4 of 6
S5Chuhai2Lushchyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiLushchykC − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.838.5−4.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 958 vs 372 / 80250.7%46.4%486 / 958 vs 372 / 802Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykChuhai 2.50/Lushchyk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai—10570A. Lushchyk—1211113
WSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai—811811123A. Lushchyk—117118102
LSep 3 · 14:30S. Chuhai—11311382A. Lushchyk—711411113
LSep 1 · 13:30S. Chuhai—3840A. Lushchyk—1111113
LAug 25 · 16:30S. Chuhai—1011471A. Lushchyk—12911113
WAug 25 · 13:00S. Chuhai—111198113A. Lushchyk—77111132
WAug 18 · 16:00S. Chuhai—1111113A. Lushchyk—7580
LAug 11 · 17:19S. Chuhai—118491A. Lushchyk—61111113
LAug 11 · 13:30S. Chuhai—13840A. Lushchyk—1511113
LAug 6 · 12:00S. Chuhai—81191142A. Lushchyk—117119113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151LSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113WSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111
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