TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060036
Played Sep 1Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111181214411––
Maksym Baday
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Maksym Baday below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 77 set 4, 4-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 108–124 Maksym Baday Ivan Fedoryshyn has won 108 of their 232 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baday)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 2.00 / Baday 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baday)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13060036
Fedoryshyn2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Baday1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 248 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it96% 132 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 181 of 211
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn6wins
AwayBaday4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn100%3 of 3
AwayBaday57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn3Baday7n = 10Baday took 7 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn5Baday5n = 10split evenly
S3Fedoryshyn5Baday5n = 10split evenly
S4Fedoryshyn5Baday2n = 7Fedoryshyn took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynBadayF − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.2+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynBadayBasisWin rate · lifetime568 / 845 vs 560 / 74467.2%75.3%568 / 845 vs 560 / 744Avg sets wonper match2.32.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayFedoryshyn 2.00/Baday 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Baday won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn—131011113M. Baday—1112591
WAug 18 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn—811813153M. Baday—1141111132
WAug 14 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—1081211113M. Baday—121110992
WAug 13 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn—11117113M. Baday—691181
LAug 11 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—11880M. Baday—1311113
LAug 6 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—891171M. Baday—11117113
WAug 4 · 17:28I. Fedoryshyn—1111113M. Baday—7460
WAug 4 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn—91111123M. Baday—1169101
LAug 2 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn—6850M. Baday—1111113
LAug 2 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—711861M. Baday—11611113
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581
M. Baday10
LSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 1 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111113S. Chuhai3.009890WSep 1 · 15:30M. Baday1.141311113A. Lushchyk5.0011570LSep 1 · 14:00M. Baday1.80411101182I. Fedoryshyn1.91115123113LSep 1 · 13:00M. Baday1.30611541A. Kasyanov3.4011811113WAug 28 · 17:30A. Kasyanov3.50115811102M. Baday1.28911117123WAug 28 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn2.101110871M. Baday1.6791211113WAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152WAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113
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