TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031485
Played Aug 28Finished
Artem Kasyanov
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1195118111171012
Maksym Baday
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:58 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Baday to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Maksym Baday below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 95 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Maksym Baday at 76.6%
95 points played in total.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 24–118 Maksym Baday Artem Kasyanov has won 24 of their 142 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:58What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Baday
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-118 in 142
Baday
Correct
gap of 94 in 142, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasyanov 1907 vs Baday 1926
Baday
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasyanov 80% vs Baday 60%
Kasyanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasyanov 70% vs Baday 50%
Kasyanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasyanov +1 · Baday +3
Baday
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Baday) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baday form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 3.50 / Baday 1.28
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Baday)+1.3pp
Setka Cup · #13031485
Kasyanov3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Baday1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 250 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it96% 135 of 140
Up 1–0, closes it86% 184 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasyanov4wins
AwayBaday6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBaday leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov66.7%4 of 6
AwayBaday100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov6Baday4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S2Kasyanov5Baday5n = 10split evenly
S3Kasyanov5Baday5n = 10split evenly
S4Kasyanov3Baday4n = 7Baday took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasyanovBadayK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.7−2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovBadayBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 711 vs 562 / 74557.2%75.4%407 / 711 vs 562 / 745Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayKasyanov 3.50/Baday 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baday won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 12:30A. Kasyanov—1111123M. Baday—99100
WAug 27 · 17:39A. Kasyanov—1611113M. Baday—14740
LAug 27 · 16:30A. Kasyanov—111181262M. Baday—791114113
LAug 21 · 17:49A. Kasyanov—611431M. Baday—11811113
LAug 21 · 15:30A. Kasyanov—91131352M. Baday—1191111113
LAug 20 · 16:30A. Kasyanov—9970M. Baday—1111113
WAug 18 · 16:30A. Kasyanov—14711113M. Baday—1211441
LAug 14 · 17:29A. Kasyanov—114491M. Baday—91111113
LAug 14 · 15:30A. Kasyanov—8611101M. Baday—11117123
WAug 13 · 13:00A. Kasyanov—11611113M. Baday—611771
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181
M. Baday10
LSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn2.006111241M. Baday1.7311814113WSep 1 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111113S. Chuhai3.009890WSep 1 · 15:30M. Baday1.141311113A. Lushchyk5.0011570LSep 1 · 14:00M. Baday1.80411101182I. Fedoryshyn1.91115123113LSep 1 · 13:00M. Baday1.30611541A. Kasyanov3.4011811113WAug 28 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn2.101110871M. Baday1.6791211113WAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152WAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.