TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094702
Played Sep 8Finished
Maksym Baday
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116118––––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Baday to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Baday above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Maksym Baday at 84.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Baday 137–13 Andrii Lushchyk Andrii Lushchyk has won 13 of their 150 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Baday
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
137-13 in 150
Baday
Correct
gap of 124 in 150, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baday 1920 vs Lushchyk 1706
Baday
Correct
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baday 80% vs Lushchyk 0%
Baday
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baday 70% vs Lushchyk 30%
Baday
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baday -1 · Lushchyk -5
Lushchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Baday)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaday 1.20 / Lushchyk 4.33
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Baday)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094702
Baday1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 242 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it96% 132 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 178 of 208
Lushchyk4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 39 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaday8wins
AwayLushchyk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBaday leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaday100%6 of 6
AwayLushchyk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baday6Lushchyk4n = 10Baday took 6 of 10
S2Baday7Lushchyk3n = 10Baday took 7 of 10
S3Baday9Lushchyk1n = 10Baday took 9 of 10
S4Baday5Lushchyk1n = 6Baday took 5 of 6
S5Baday1Lushchyk2n = 3Lushchyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadayLushchykB − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.534.5+6.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadayLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 737 vs 372 / 80475.4%46.3%556 / 737 vs 372 / 804Avg sets wonper match2.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayBaday 1.20/Lushchyk 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Baday won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:30M. Baday—1311113A. Lushchyk—11570
LAug 27 · 14:00M. Baday—79121182A. Lushchyk—1111107113
LAug 18 · 14:00M. Baday—12111112132A. Lushchyk—146914153
WAug 14 · 16:30M. Baday—1111113A. Lushchyk—9680
WAug 11 · 15:30M. Baday—101111113A. Lushchyk—127871
WAug 6 · 16:30M. Baday—11411113A. Lushchyk—611891
WAug 2 · 16:30M. Baday—1111113A. Lushchyk—9790
WJul 28 · 17:40M. Baday—1311113A. Lushchyk—11680
WJul 28 · 15:30M. Baday—851112113A. Lushchyk—111171082
WJul 23 · 14:00M. Baday—11113113A. Lushchyk—421191
M. Baday10
LSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn2.006111241M. Baday1.7311814113WSep 1 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111113S. Chuhai3.009890WSep 1 · 15:30M. Baday1.141311113A. Lushchyk5.0011570LSep 1 · 14:00M. Baday1.80411101182I. Fedoryshyn1.91115123113LSep 1 · 13:00M. Baday1.30611541A. Kasyanov3.4011811113WAug 28 · 17:30A. Kasyanov3.50115811102M. Baday1.28911117123WAug 28 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn2.101110871M. Baday1.6791211113WAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 1 · 15:30M. Baday1.141311113A. Lushchyk5.0011570
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