TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031255
Played Aug 28Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412511711116611
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 57.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 9–6 Ruslan Ivanov Ruslan Ivanov has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:31What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1870 vs Ivanov 1813
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Ivanov 0%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 50% vs Ivanov 30%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -1 · Ivanov -5
Ivanov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanov form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.61 / Ivanov 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031255
Fedoryshyn1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 206 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it98% 122 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it85% 168 of 197
Ivanov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog57% won 16 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back50% 7 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn6wins
AwayIvanov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn62.5%5 of 8
AwayIvanovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn8Ivanov2n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn4Ivanov6n = 10Ivanov took 6 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn5Ivanov5n = 10split evenly
S4Fedoryshyn3Ivanov6n = 9Ivanov took 6 of 9
S5Fedoryshyn3Ivanov1n = 4Fedoryshyn took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynIvanovF − IBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.239.4+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 845 vs 60 / 9267.1%65.2%567 / 845 vs 60 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.61/Ivanov 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 12:00I. Fedoryshyn—11113113R. Ivanov—891191
WAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111113R. Ivanov—8940
LAug 21 · 17:22I. Fedoryshyn—119791R. Ivanov—91111113
WAug 20 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—113126113R. Ivanov—711101192
WAug 14 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn—1113129113R. Ivanov—415101182
WAug 14 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—91111113R. Ivanov—115781
WAug 13 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1191211113R. Ivanov—51114962
LAug 7 · 09:00I. Fedoryshyn—11114972R. Ivanov—391111113
LAug 6 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—781141R. Ivanov—11115113
LJul 20 · 11:40I. Fedoryshyn—115861R. Ivanov—61111113
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191
R. Ivanov10
LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk3.75411811153R. Ivanov1.25115116132LAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940WAug 27 · 13:00M. Baday1.9111961282R. Ivanov1.802111110113WAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2.0015830R. Ivanov1.731711113
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