TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022769
Played Aug 27Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119114––––
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 7–5 Ruslan Ivanov Ruslan Ivanov has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:12What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1819 vs Ivanov 1894
Ivanov
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 20% vs Ivanov 80%
Ivanov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 40% vs Ivanov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -2 · Ivanov +3
Ivanov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.80 / Ivanov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13022769
Fedoryshyn1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 205 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it86% 167 of 195
Ivanov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog59% won 16 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back54% 7 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn5wins
AwayIvanov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn57.1%4 of 7
AwayIvanov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn7Ivanov3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn6Ivanov4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn3Ivanov7n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S5Fedoryshyn3Ivanov2n = 5Fedoryshyn took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynIvanovF − IBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.5+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime563 / 838 vs 59 / 8467.2%70.2%563 / 838 vs 59 / 84Avg sets wonper match2.32.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.80/Ivanov 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—113126113R. Ivanov—711101192
WAug 14 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn—1113129113R. Ivanov—415101182
WAug 14 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—91111113R. Ivanov—115781
WAug 13 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1191211113R. Ivanov—51114962
LAug 7 · 09:00I. Fedoryshyn—11114972R. Ivanov—391111113
LAug 6 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—781141R. Ivanov—11115113
LJul 20 · 11:40I. Fedoryshyn—115861R. Ivanov—61111113
LJul 16 · 17:19I. Fedoryshyn—113861R. Ivanov—31111113
LJul 16 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—91111992R. Ivanov—113811113
WJul 10 · 08:00I. Fedoryshyn—12711113R. Ivanov—1011641
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191
R. Ivanov10
WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk3.75411811153R. Ivanov1.25115116132WAug 27 · 13:00M. Baday1.9111961282R. Ivanov1.802111110113WAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2.0015830R. Ivanov1.731711113
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