TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094497
Played Sep 8Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411911––––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 61.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 97–60 Artem Kasyanov Artem Kasyanov has won 60 of their 157 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
97-60 in 157
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
gap of 37 in 157, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1891 vs Kasyanov 1873
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 80% vs Kasyanov 60%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Kasyanov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -1 · Kasyanov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.53 / Kasyanov 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094497
Fedoryshyn1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 162 of 190
Kasyanov2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 29 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn3wins
AwayKasyanov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn50%3 of 6
AwayKasyanov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn6Kasyanov4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn5Kasyanov5n = 10split evenly
S3Fedoryshyn4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn1Kasyanov4n = 5Kasyanov took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovF − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.436.7−3.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 842 vs 405 / 70766.5%57.3%560 / 842 vs 405 / 707Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.53/Kasyanov 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111113A. Kasyanov—8780
LSep 3 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—97110A. Kasyanov—1111133
WSep 1 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111123A. Kasyanov—76100
WAug 28 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111143A. Kasyanov—95120
LAug 28 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—971161A. Kasyanov—11117113
LAug 27 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—12113772A. Kasyanov—1081111113
LAug 25 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—9980A. Kasyanov—1111113
LAug 25 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—119941A. Kasyanov—91111113
LAug 21 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—11751362A. Kasyanov—7111111113
LAug 20 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—1011451A. Kasyanov—12911113
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181
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