TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031520
Played Aug 28Finished
Ruslan Ivanov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911113911––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Ivanov above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 57.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Ivanov 6–8 Ivan Fedoryshyn Ruslan Ivanov has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanov 1871 vs Fedoryshyn 1826
Ivanov
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanov 60% vs Fedoryshyn 40%
Ivanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanov 60% vs Fedoryshyn 40%
Ivanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanov +1 · Fedoryshyn -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanov 2.10 / Fedoryshyn 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13031520
Ivanov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog57% won 16 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back50% 7 of 14
Fedoryshyn1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 206 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it98% 122 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it85% 168 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanov5wins
AwayFedoryshyn5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFedoryshyn50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanov2Fedoryshyn8n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S2Ivanov7Fedoryshyn3n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S3Ivanov5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivanov7Fedoryshyn2n = 9Ivanov took 7 of 9
S5Ivanov1Fedoryshyn3n = 4Fedoryshyn took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanovFedoryshynI − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.4−0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanovFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 87 vs 564 / 84069%67.1%60 / 87 vs 564 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.42.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynIvanov 2.10/Fedoryshyn 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 14:30R. Ivanov—8940I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
WAug 21 · 17:22R. Ivanov—91111113I. Fedoryshyn—119791
LAug 20 · 14:30R. Ivanov—711101192I. Fedoryshyn—113126113
LAug 14 · 17:00R. Ivanov—415101182I. Fedoryshyn—1113129113
LAug 14 · 16:00R. Ivanov—115781I. Fedoryshyn—91111113
LAug 13 · 12:30R. Ivanov—51114962I. Fedoryshyn—1191211113
WAug 7 · 09:00R. Ivanov—391111113I. Fedoryshyn—11114972
WAug 6 · 12:30R. Ivanov—11115113I. Fedoryshyn—781141
WJul 20 · 11:40R. Ivanov—61111113I. Fedoryshyn—115861
WJul 16 · 17:19R. Ivanov—31111113I. Fedoryshyn—113861
R. Ivanov10
WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk3.75411811153R. Ivanov1.25115116132LAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940WAug 27 · 13:00M. Baday1.9111961282R. Ivanov1.802111110113WAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2.0015830R. Ivanov1.731711113
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782LAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113WAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940
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