TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031312
Played Aug 28Finished
Artem Kasyanov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115119––––
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 55.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 5–5 Ruslan Ivanov Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ivanov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasyanov 1907 vs Ivanov 1824
Kasyanov
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasyanov 80% vs Ivanov 20%
Kasyanov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasyanov 70% vs Ivanov 40%
Kasyanov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasyanov -1 · Ivanov -4
Ivanov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kasyanov) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanov form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 2.00 / Ivanov 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kasyanov)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13031312
Kasyanov2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Ivanov1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 44 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasyanov5wins
AwayIvanov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov50%3 of 6
AwayIvanov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov6Ivanov4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S2Kasyanov5Ivanov5n = 10split evenly
S3Kasyanov4Ivanov6n = 10Ivanov took 6 of 10
S4Kasyanov3Ivanov5n = 8Ivanov took 5 of 8
S5Kasyanov2Ivanov1n = 3Kasyanov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasyanovIvanovK − IBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.6+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 709 vs 60 / 9157.3%65.9%406 / 709 vs 60 / 91Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovKasyanov 2.00/Ivanov 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 13:00A. Kasyanov—101111113R. Ivanov—123971
LAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—15830R. Ivanov—1711113
WAug 21 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—1112113R. Ivanov—71050
WAug 20 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—611811113R. Ivanov—11211762
LAug 14 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—1110139102R. Ivanov—6121111123
WAug 13 · 16:00A. Kasyanov—13119113R. Ivanov—1131181
LAug 7 · 07:30A. Kasyanov—118961R. Ivanov—81111113
LJul 31 · 07:30A. Kasyanov—116851R. Ivanov—51111113
WJul 24 · 09:00A. Kasyanov—111178113R. Ivanov—77111182
LJul 10 · 06:00A. Kasyanov—1081171R. Ivanov—12115113
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163
R. Ivanov10
WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk3.75411811153R. Ivanov1.25115116132LAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940WAug 27 · 13:00M. Baday1.9111961282R. Ivanov1.802111110113WAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2.0015830R. Ivanov1.731711113
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