TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022601
Played Aug 27Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111158111161513
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 95 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 79.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 0–7 Ruslan Ivanov Andrii Lushchyk has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Ivanov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Ivanov
Wrong
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1730 vs Ivanov 1877
Ivanov
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 60% vs Ivanov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 30% vs Ivanov 50%
Ivanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -1 · Ivanov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Ivanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanov form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 3.75 / Ivanov 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Ivanov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13022601
Lushchyk3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 34 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 79
Ivanov1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite75% won 41 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLushchyk0wins
AwayIvanov7wins
1 of 7 to a deciderIvanov leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayIvanov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk2Ivanov5n = 7Ivanov took 5 of 7
S2Lushchyk0Ivanov7n = 7Ivanov took 7 of 7
S3Lushchyk2Ivanov5n = 7Ivanov took 5 of 7
S4Lushchyk1Ivanov3n = 4Ivanov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricLushchykIvanovL − IBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match27.639.1−11.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 796 vs 59 / 8546.5%69.4%370 / 796 vs 59 / 85Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovLushchyk 3.75/Ivanov 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 14 · 12:00A. Lushchyk—111151132R. Ivanov—613116113
LAug 6 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—361131R. Ivanov—11118113
LJul 31 · 09:00A. Lushchyk—165651R. Ivanov—141111113
LJul 24 · 06:00A. Lushchyk—6760R. Ivanov—1111113
LJul 23 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—991181R. Ivanov—11116113
LJul 16 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—68100R. Ivanov—1111123
LJul 9 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—5390R. Ivanov—1111113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.201111113A. Lushchyk4.334680LSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191
R. Ivanov10
WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940WAug 27 · 13:00M. Baday1.9111961282R. Ivanov1.802111110113WAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2.0015830R. Ivanov1.731711113
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