TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022706
Played Aug 27Finished
Artem Kasyanov
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1517811311––––
Ruslan Ivanov
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Ruslan Ivanov below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 65 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 4–5 Ruslan Ivanov Artem Kasyanov has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ivanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasyanov 1885 vs Ivanov 1881
Kasyanov
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasyanov 100% vs Ivanov 60%
Kasyanov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasyanov 70% vs Ivanov 30%
Kasyanov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasyanov +5 · Ivanov +1
Kasyanov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ivanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 2.00 / Ivanov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ivanov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13022706
Kasyanov2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 21 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Ivanov1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite75% won 41 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKasyanov4wins
AwayIvanov5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderIvanov leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov50%3 of 6
AwayIvanov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov6Ivanov3n = 9Kasyanov took 6 of 9
S2Kasyanov4Ivanov5n = 9Ivanov took 5 of 9
S3Kasyanov3Ivanov6n = 9Ivanov took 6 of 9
S4Kasyanov2Ivanov5n = 7Ivanov took 5 of 7
S5Kasyanov2Ivanov1n = 3Kasyanov took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKasyanovIvanovK − IBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match39.138.3+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovIvanovBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 701 vs 58 / 8357.1%69.9%400 / 701 vs 58 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovKasyanov 2.00/Ivanov 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—15830R. Ivanov—1711113
WAug 21 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—1112113R. Ivanov—71050
WAug 20 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—611811113R. Ivanov—11211762
LAug 14 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—1110139102R. Ivanov—6121111123
WAug 13 · 16:00A. Kasyanov—13119113R. Ivanov—1131181
LAug 7 · 07:30A. Kasyanov—118961R. Ivanov—81111113
LJul 31 · 07:30A. Kasyanov—116851R. Ivanov—51111113
WJul 24 · 09:00A. Kasyanov—111178113R. Ivanov—77111182
LJul 10 · 06:00A. Kasyanov—1081171R. Ivanov—12115113
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163
R. Ivanov10
WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 13:00R. Ivanov1.61123971A. Kasyanov2.20101111113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk3.75411811153R. Ivanov1.25115116132LAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940WAug 27 · 13:00M. Baday1.9111961282R. Ivanov1.802111110113
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