TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031582
Played Aug 28Finished
Ruslan Ivanov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210311911711––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRuslan Ivanov above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 55.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Ivanov 5–4 Artem Kasyanov Artem Kasyanov has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:24What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ivanov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanov 1857 vs Kasyanov 1922
Kasyanov
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanov 40% vs Kasyanov 80%
Kasyanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanov 60% vs Kasyanov 80%
Kasyanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanov -1 · Kasyanov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Ivanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanov 1.61 / Kasyanov 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Ivanov)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13031582
Ivanov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 44 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Kasyanov2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeIvanov5wins
AwayKasyanov4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderIvanov leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanov66.7%2 of 3
AwayKasyanov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanov3Kasyanov6n = 9Kasyanov took 6 of 9
S2Ivanov5Kasyanov4n = 9Ivanov took 5 of 9
S3Ivanov6Kasyanov3n = 9Ivanov took 6 of 9
S4Ivanov5Kasyanov2n = 7Ivanov took 5 of 7
S5Ivanov1Kasyanov2n = 3Kasyanov took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricIvanovKasyanovI − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.339.1−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanovKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 88 vs 404 / 70668.2%57.2%60 / 88 vs 404 / 706Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovIvanov 1.61/Kasyanov 2.20
Miss
What we said
55.3%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 27 · 12:00R. Ivanov—1711113A. Kasyanov—15830
LAug 21 · 14:30R. Ivanov—71050A. Kasyanov—1112113
LAug 20 · 12:00R. Ivanov—11211762A. Kasyanov—611811113
WAug 14 · 14:30R. Ivanov—6121111123A. Kasyanov—1110139102
LAug 13 · 16:00R. Ivanov—1131181A. Kasyanov—13119113
WAug 7 · 07:30R. Ivanov—81111113A. Kasyanov—118961
WJul 31 · 07:30R. Ivanov—51111113A. Kasyanov—116851
LJul 24 · 09:00R. Ivanov—77111182A. Kasyanov—111178113
WJul 10 · 06:00R. Ivanov—12115113A. Kasyanov—1081171
R. Ivanov10
WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov2.10891191I. Fedoryshyn1.6711113113WAug 27 · 17:09R. Ivanov1.301111113A. Lushchyk3.406680LAug 27 · 16:00A. Lushchyk3.75411811153R. Ivanov1.25115116132LAug 27 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113R. Ivanov1.918940WAug 27 · 13:00M. Baday1.9111961282R. Ivanov1.802111110113WAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2.0015830R. Ivanov1.731711113
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 27 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2.0015830R. Ivanov1.731711113
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