TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105612
Played Sep 10Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811411118119311
Maksym Hubenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 61.2%
87 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 46–26 Maksym Hubenko Maksym Hubenko has won 26 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:54What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lushchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-26 in 72
Lushchyk
Wrong
gap of 20 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1700 vs Hubenko 1681
Lushchyk
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 0% vs Hubenko 60%
Hubenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 20% vs Hubenko 60%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -5 · Hubenko +2
Lushchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lushchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 1.53 / Hubenko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Lushchyk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105612
Lushchyk1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 111 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 103
Hubenko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 45 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk7wins
AwayHubenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk80%4 of 5
AwayHubenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Lushchyk8Hubenko2n = 10Lushchyk took 8 of 10
S3Lushchyk7Hubenko3n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Lushchyk2Hubenko3n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
S5Lushchyk2Hubenko1n = 3Lushchyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykHubenkoL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.633.2+5.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 805 vs 549 / 103146.2%53.3%372 / 805 vs 549 / 1031Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykLushchyk 1.53/Hubenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 09:30A. Lushchyk—711114113M. Hubenko—11231182
LAug 2 · 14:00A. Lushchyk—147481M. Hubenko—121111113
LJul 31 · 08:00A. Lushchyk—10990M. Hubenko—1211113
WJul 24 · 10:00A. Lushchyk—1111113M. Hubenko—9770
WJul 19 · 09:30A. Lushchyk—1411113M. Hubenko—12720
WJul 13 · 10:30A. Lushchyk—1111113M. Hubenko—9880
WJul 9 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—1011119133M. Hubenko—126311112
WJul 5 · 11:00A. Lushchyk—1211113M. Hubenko—10770
WJun 26 · 17:11A. Lushchyk—91111113M. Hubenko—119941
LJun 26 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—911611122M. Hubenko—115118143
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.201111113A. Lushchyk4.334680LSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191
M. Hubenko10
WSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570
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