TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100477
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210118711811811
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 62.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 29–17 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 17 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-17 in 46
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 12 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1664 vs Vasylets 1553
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 40% vs Vasylets 20%
Hubenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 60% vs Vasylets 30%
Hubenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +1 · Vasylets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.53 / Vasylets 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Hubenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100477
Hubenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 241 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it94% 119 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it84% 168 of 201
Vasylets2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 52 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko5wins
AwayVasylets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayVasylets100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko6Vasylets4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko8Vasylets2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S3Hubenko4Vasylets6n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko4Vasylets3n = 7Hubenko took 4 of 7
S5Hubenko0Vasylets3n = 3Vasylets took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoVasyletsH − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.236.7+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1028 vs 233 / 52453.2%44.5%547 / 1028 vs 233 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.53/Vasylets 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 15:00M. Hubenko—11118103A. Vasylets—651171
WSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko—1211123A. Vasylets—108100
LAug 30 · 12:00M. Hubenko—911101182A. Vasylets—115127113
LAug 26 · 08:00M. Hubenko—53100A. Vasylets—1111123
WAug 19 · 07:00M. Hubenko—12911113A. Vasylets—1011791
WAug 16 · 15:30M. Hubenko—11119113A. Vasylets—191161
LAug 12 · 09:00M. Hubenko—14118672A. Vasylets—1271111113
LAug 8 · 13:30M. Hubenko—311118102A. Vasylets—115711123
LJul 30 · 16:00M. Hubenko—1013641A. Vasylets—121111113
WJul 18 · 17:03M. Hubenko—1111113A. Vasylets—7880
M. Hubenko10
WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112
A. Vasylets10
WSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113
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