TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100547
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117114––––
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 61.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 23–21 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 21 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-21 in 44
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 2 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1745 vs Vasylets 1562
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 40% vs Vasylets 20%
Chuhai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 70% vs Vasylets 40%
Chuhai
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai -2 · Vasylets -4
Vasylets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Chuhai) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 1.50 / Vasylets 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Chuhai)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100547
Chuhai1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 184 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it86% 137 of 159
Vasylets2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 52 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai7wins
AwayVasylets3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai80%4 of 5
AwayVasylets40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S2Chuhai5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S3Chuhai5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S4Chuhai6Vasylets2n = 8Chuhai took 6 of 8
S5Chuhai3Vasylets1n = 4Chuhai took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiVasyletsC − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.139.7+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 962 vs 236 / 52650.7%44.9%488 / 962 vs 236 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiChuhai 1.50/Vasylets 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 17:00S. Chuhai—71112123A. Vasylets—11710101
WJul 30 · 15:00S. Chuhai—111112113A. Vasylets—691471
LJul 28 · 17:09S. Chuhai—111221032A. Vasylets—9101112113
WJul 28 · 12:00S. Chuhai—981111113A. Vasylets—11118842
LJul 23 · 12:00S. Chuhai—71214121A. Vasylets—111016143
WJul 21 · 12:00S. Chuhai—116911113A. Vasylets—91111972
WJul 14 · 15:00S. Chuhai—1111113A. Vasylets—7660
LJul 7 · 16:00S. Chuhai—81090A. Vasylets—1112113
WJun 29 · 15:00S. Chuhai—391111113A. Vasylets—11118822
WJun 24 · 15:00S. Chuhai—12411113A. Vasylets—1011881
S. Chuhai10
LSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113WSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113
A. Vasylets10
LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113WAug 30 · 17:43A. Vasylets2.631111113S. Aristarkhov1.447690
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