TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099821
Played Sep 8Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161171311––––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 148–91 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 91 of their 239 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Chuhai beat Fedoryshyn 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.13 / Chuhai 5.50
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13099821
Fedoryshyn1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 162 of 190
Chuhai5.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn8wins
AwayChuhai2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn100%5 of 5
AwayChuhai40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S2Fedoryshyn7Chuhai3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn6Chuhai4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn5Chuhai2n = 7Fedoryshyn took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiF − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.934.0+3.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 843 vs 488 / 96166.4%50.8%560 / 843 vs 488 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.13/Chuhai 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.2%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1211151S. Chuhai—14116113
WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn—117119113S. Chuhai—71171162
WSep 4 · 13:00I. Fedoryshyn—11115113S. Chuhai—491171
WSep 3 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—11116113S. Chuhai—961171
WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—111111113S. Chuhai—138961
WSep 1 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—91112113S. Chuhai—1151061
LAug 25 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—3930S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 25 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—912812113S. Chuhai—1110111072
WAug 21 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111153S. Chuhai—85130
WAug 20 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111113S. Chuhai—3580
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191
S. Chuhai10
LSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113WSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113
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