TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100620
Played Sep 9Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711311115511––
Oleksandr Ziakun
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 64 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 68.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 28–15 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Ziakun has won 15 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vasylets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-15 in 43
Vasylets
Wrong
gap of 13 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1555 vs Ziakun 1510
Vasylets
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 0% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 30% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets -5 · Ziakun -1
Vasylets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vasylets) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.44 / Ziakun 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Vasylets)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100620
Vasylets1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Ziakun2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 88 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets7wins
AwayZiakun3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets100%7 of 7
AwayZiakun100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets7Ziakun3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S2Vasylets9Ziakun1n = 10Vasylets took 9 of 10
S3Vasylets5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasylets3Ziakun4n = 7Ziakun took 4 of 7
S5Vasylets2Ziakun2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsZiakunV − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.336.7+3.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 522 vs 354 / 74544.4%47.5%232 / 522 vs 354 / 745Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.44/Ziakun 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:30A. Vasylets—11115113O. Ziakun—691151
WAug 26 · 09:00A. Vasylets—11117113O. Ziakun—691181
LAug 19 · 09:00A. Vasylets—1211271O. Ziakun—14911113
WJul 18 · 15:00A. Vasylets—1112114113O. Ziakun—91421192
WJun 20 · 14:30A. Vasylets—1112123O. Ziakun—910100
WMay 16 · 12:00A. Vasylets—111187113O. Ziakun—79111112
WMar 14 · 14:30A. Vasylets—1113113O. Ziakun—71160
WMar 7 · 17:00A. Vasylets—111293O. Ziakun—91060
LFeb 21 · 16:30A. Vasylets—71111982O. Ziakun—118511113
LFeb 14 · 13:30A. Vasylets—711111542O. Ziakun—115131373
A. Vasylets10
LSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113
O. Ziakun10
LSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761WSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113WSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652LSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113
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