TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13093994
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1168111012711––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 61.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 55–27 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 27 of their 82 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ziakun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-27 in 82
Ziakun
Wrong
gap of 28 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1527 vs Lyman 1395
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Lyman 20%
Ziakun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 40% vs Lyman 20%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +2 · Lyman -4
Lyman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.61 / Lyman 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13093994
Ziakun1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 78 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it86% 55 of 64
Lyman2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 58 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back15% 19 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun6wins
AwayLyman4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%4 of 4
AwayLyman66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun8Lyman2n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun5Lyman4n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5Ziakun2Lyman1n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunLymanZ − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.039.4+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 743 vs 272 / 60947.2%44.7%351 / 743 vs 272 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.61/Lyman 2.20
Miss
What we said
61.7%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun—1111113O. Lyman—7760
LAug 26 · 04:30O. Ziakun—10113101O. Lyman—12711123
WAug 25 · 04:30O. Ziakun—61111113O. Lyman—114461
LAug 19 · 06:00O. Ziakun—83111162O. Lyman—111177113
WJun 20 · 16:00O. Ziakun—121212113O. Lyman—10101481
WJun 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun—8121011113O. Lyman—111012772
WJun 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun—12611113O. Lyman—1011881
LJun 4 · 09:00O. Ziakun—10111071O. Lyman—12612113
WMay 29 · 06:00O. Ziakun—151196113O. Lyman—138111182
LMay 26 · 07:30O. Ziakun—711991O. Lyman—11911113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760
Upcoming Matches
O. Ziakun
O. Lyman
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.