TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100596
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115117116––
Oleksandr Ziakun
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 54.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 60–48 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Ziakun has won 48 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-48 in 108
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1542 vs Ziakun 1521
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 20% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 30% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -2 · Ziakun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.73 / Ziakun 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100596
Kuzmenko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 99 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it80% 74 of 93
Ziakun2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko4wins
AwayZiakun6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko60%3 of 5
AwayZiakun80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko6Ziakun4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmenko3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmenko5Ziakun4n = 9Kuzmenko took 5 of 9
S5Kuzmenko2Ziakun3n = 5Ziakun took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoZiakunK − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match46.145.4+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 916 vs 354 / 74440.9%47.6%375 / 916 vs 354 / 744Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.73/Ziakun 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko—1199101O. Ziakun—81111123
WAug 25 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—1111143O. Ziakun—55120
LAug 21 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko—11116101O. Ziakun—13711123
WAug 17 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—111110143O. Ziakun—8412121
WAug 14 · 08:30D. Kuzmenko—991112113O. Ziakun—111171032
LAug 11 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko—8141491O. Ziakun—111216113
LAug 10 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—1451014112O. Ziakun—12111212133
WAug 6 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko—118811123O. Ziakun—711119102
LAug 3 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko—1412118112O. Ziakun—1610911133
LJul 30 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko—91361162O. Ziakun—1111118113
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123
O. Ziakun10
WSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113WSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652LSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113
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