TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100412
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611411––––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 62.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 103–69 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Syksa has won 69 of their 172 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
103-69 in 172
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 34 in 172, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1684 vs Syksa 1639
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Syksa 60%
Hubenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 70% vs Syksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -1 · Syksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.57 / Syksa 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Hubenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13100412
Hubenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite74% won 241 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it94% 119 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it84% 168 of 201
Syksa2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 56 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko6wins
AwaySyksa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko60%3 of 5
AwaySyksa40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Hubenko7Syksa3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S4Hubenko4Syksa4n = 8split evenly
S5Hubenko2Syksa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoSyksaH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.8+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 1026 vs 576 / 109853.2%52.5%546 / 1026 vs 576 / 1098Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.57/Syksa 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 05:00M. Hubenko—119871O. Syksa—91111113
LAug 12 · 06:00M. Hubenko—118111082O. Syksa—511612113
WAug 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko—119116113O. Syksa—81151192
LAug 8 · 17:04M. Hubenko—811911122O. Syksa—115117143
WAug 8 · 14:30M. Hubenko—5111163O. Syksa—119951
LAug 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko—87110O. Syksa—1111133
WJul 31 · 05:00M. Hubenko—111011113O. Syksa—812591
WJul 27 · 06:00M. Hubenko—1111113O. Syksa—9580
WJul 26 · 10:00M. Hubenko—81111113O. Syksa—118881
WJul 23 · 04:30M. Hubenko—811119113O. Syksa—11581142
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111
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