TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100551
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611411116611––
Andrii Vasylets
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 66 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 62.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 9–14 Andrii Vasylets Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Vasylets
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1545 vs Vasylets 1542
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Vasylets 0%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 20% vs Vasylets 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -1 · Vasylets -5
Vasylets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vasylets) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.25 / Vasylets 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Vasylets)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100551
Kuzmenko2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 107 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Vasylets1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko5wins
AwayVasylets5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%3 of 3
AwayVasylets71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko3Vasylets7n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmenko5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmenko6Vasylets4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko4Vasylets3n = 7Kuzmenko took 4 of 7
S5Kuzmenko2Vasylets2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoVasyletsK − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.1−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 916 vs 232 / 52341.1%44.4%376 / 916 vs 232 / 523Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsKuzmenko 2.25/Vasylets 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—9111011123A. Vasylets—114127102
WAug 22 · 14:30D. Kuzmenko—11911113A. Vasylets—811991
LAug 16 · 14:00D. Kuzmenko—10950A. Vasylets—1211113
WJul 25 · 16:00D. Kuzmenko—11611113A. Vasylets—511461
LJul 18 · 14:00D. Kuzmenko—911111092A. Vasylets—117912113
LJul 11 · 17:28D. Kuzmenko—711831A. Vasylets—11411113
WJul 11 · 15:00D. Kuzmenko—1111113A. Vasylets—9870
LJul 4 · 12:30D. Kuzmenko—611114102A. Vasylets—118911123
WJun 6 · 12:30D. Kuzmenko—351111113A. Vasylets—11118752
LFeb 14 · 18:35D. Kuzmenko—21270A. Vasylets—1114113
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761LSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041
A. Vasylets10
LSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123
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