TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100600
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117112115––
Oleksandr Ziakun
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 65 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 68.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 42–13 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Ziakun has won 13 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-13 in 55
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 29 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1657 vs Ziakun 1523
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 40% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 60% vs Ziakun 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -3 · Ziakun +1
Hubenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.44 / Ziakun 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100600
Hubenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 241 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it94% 119 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it84% 168 of 201
Ziakun2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 88 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko5wins
AwayZiakun5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko62.5%5 of 8
AwayZiakunn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko8Ziakun2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S2Hubenko4Ziakun6n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Hubenko4Ziakun5n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5Hubenko3Ziakun2n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoZiakunH − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.941.9+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 1027 vs 355 / 74653.2%47.6%546 / 1027 vs 355 / 746Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.44/Ziakun 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 04:30M. Hubenko—79111182O. Ziakun—111189113
WAug 26 · 06:00M. Hubenko—116911113O. Ziakun—71111662
LAug 25 · 08:30M. Hubenko—1391181O. Ziakun—111113113
LAug 21 · 10:30M. Hubenko—1171111102O. Ziakun—111136123
WAug 19 · 10:30M. Hubenko—111111113O. Ziakun—613771
WAug 13 · 06:00M. Hubenko—1111113O. Ziakun—7970
WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hubenko—151148113O. Ziakun—137111122
LAug 4 · 10:30M. Hubenko—11111091O. Ziakun—13812113
LJul 22 · 07:30M. Hubenko—2179101O. Ziakun—191111123
WJul 18 · 12:00M. Hubenko—111198113O. Ziakun—87111152
M. Hubenko10
LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112
O. Ziakun10
WSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761WSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113WSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652LSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.