TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100504
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111314126111012––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 78.6% is still 78.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
78.6%
78.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 89 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 78.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 11–47 Maksym Hubenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 11 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-47 in 58
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 36 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1527 vs Hubenko 1650
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 20% vs Hubenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 20% vs Hubenko 50%
Hubenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -3 · Hubenko -1
Kuzmenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 3.40 / Hubenko 1.30
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Hubenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100504
Kuzmenko3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 107 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Hubenko1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 241 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it94% 119 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it84% 168 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko1wins
AwayHubenko9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayHubenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmenko3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmenko3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmenko2Hubenko5n = 7Hubenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoHubenkoK − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.539.6−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 916 vs 547 / 102940.9%53.2%375 / 916 vs 547 / 1029Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoKuzmenko 3.40/Hubenko 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 09:30D. Kuzmenko—7960M. Hubenko—1111113
LAug 16 · 12:30D. Kuzmenko—119491M. Hubenko—81111113
LAug 11 · 09:30D. Kuzmenko—661111112M. Hubenko—111177133
LAug 9 · 05:00D. Kuzmenko—6480M. Hubenko—1111113
WAug 5 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko—11119113M. Hubenko—981121
LJul 29 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko—8101181M. Hubenko—11126113
LJul 27 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko—10131191M. Hubenko—12156113
LJul 23 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko—11111010122M. Hubenko—481212143
LJul 22 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—611981M. Hubenko—11811113
LJul 18 · 13:00D. Kuzmenko—79110M. Hubenko—1111133
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113LSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761LSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123
M. Hubenko10
LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113
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