TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110752
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
131116143111412––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 94 set 4, 14-12
94 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 26–46 Andrii Lushchyk Maksym Hubenko has won 26 of their 72 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Hubenko beat Lushchyk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Lushchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 2.15 / Lushchyk 1.62
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Lushchyk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13110752
Hubenko2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 45 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Lushchyk1.62
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 111 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko3wins
AwayLushchyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko40%2 of 5
AwayLushchyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko2Lushchyk8n = 10Lushchyk took 8 of 10
S3Hubenko3Lushchyk7n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Hubenko3Lushchyk2n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
S5Hubenko1Lushchyk2n = 3Lushchyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoLushchykH − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.238.6−5.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1034 vs 372 / 80553.2%46.2%550 / 1034 vs 372 / 805Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykHubenko 2.15/Lushchyk 1.62
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko—11231182A. Lushchyk—711114113
WAug 2 · 14:00M. Hubenko—121111113A. Lushchyk—147481
WJul 31 · 08:00M. Hubenko—1211113A. Lushchyk—10990
LJul 24 · 10:00M. Hubenko—9770A. Lushchyk—1111113
LJul 19 · 09:30M. Hubenko—12720A. Lushchyk—1411113
LJul 13 · 10:30M. Hubenko—9880A. Lushchyk—1111113
LJul 9 · 12:30M. Hubenko—126311112A. Lushchyk—1011119133
LJul 5 · 11:00M. Hubenko—10770A. Lushchyk—1211113
LJun 26 · 17:11M. Hubenko—119941A. Lushchyk—91111113
WJun 26 · 14:30M. Hubenko—115118143A. Lushchyk—911611122
M. Hubenko10
LSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981LSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113WSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112
A. Lushchyk10
WSep 10 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311611113A. Kasyanov1.44811861LSep 10 · 15:30A. Lushchyk2.638760I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113LSep 10 · 14:00A. Lushchyk3.504780R. Ivanov1.281111113LSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.201111113A. Lushchyk4.334680LSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.