TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105803
Played Sep 10Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210115911211119
Maksym Hubenko
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:43 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 82.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 78–11 Maksym Hubenko Maksym Hubenko has won 11 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
78-11 in 89
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 67 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1887 vs Hubenko 1693
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 40% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Hubenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn +1 · Hubenko +3
Hubenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.22 / Hubenko 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105803
Fedoryshyn1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 197 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it98% 120 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it86% 159 of 186
Hubenko4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 45 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn9wins
AwayHubenko1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn80%4 of 5
AwayHubenko0%0 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Fedoryshyn7Hubenko3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn8Hubenko2n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn6Hubenko1n = 7Fedoryshyn took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynHubenkoF − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.632.7+7.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime562 / 845 vs 550 / 103266.5%53.3%562 / 845 vs 550 / 1032Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.22/Hubenko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 07:00I. Fedoryshyn—671111113M. Hubenko—11116372
WAug 2 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111123M. Hubenko—89100
WJul 13 · 06:00I. Fedoryshyn—91111113M. Hubenko—116371
WJul 10 · 11:00I. Fedoryshyn—1211113M. Hubenko—10470
WJul 9 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111113M. Hubenko—5870
WJul 6 · 06:58I. Fedoryshyn—871111113M. Hubenko—11119962
WJul 5 · 10:00I. Fedoryshyn—11119113M. Hubenko—981131
WJun 30 · 10:30I. Fedoryshyn—91211113M. Hubenko—1110871
WJun 21 · 09:30I. Fedoryshyn—91111113M. Hubenko—115981
LJun 12 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—11111731M. Hubenko—51319113
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 10 · 15:30A. Lushchyk2.638760I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113WSep 10 · 13:30A. Kasyanov2.0098100I. Fedoryshyn1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162
M. Hubenko10
WSep 10 · 13:00A. Lushchyk1.5384111132M. Hubenko2.38111189113WSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251LSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791
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