TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105695
Played Sep 10Finished
Artem Kasyanov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111012––––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 55.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 62–98 Ivan Fedoryshyn Artem Kasyanov has won 62 of their 160 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-98 in 160
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 36 in 160, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasyanov 1878 vs Fedoryshyn 1873
Kasyanov
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasyanov 60% vs Fedoryshyn 40%
Kasyanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasyanov 60% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasyanov -1 · Fedoryshyn -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 2.00 / Fedoryshyn 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105695
Kasyanov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 30 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Fedoryshyn1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 197 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it98% 120 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it86% 159 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasyanov6wins
AwayFedoryshyn4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov83.3%5 of 6
AwayFedoryshyn75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S2Kasyanov5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S3Kasyanov6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S4Kasyanov2Fedoryshyn1n = 3Kasyanov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasyanovFedoryshynK − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.533.1+1.4per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 710 vs 561 / 84457.3%66.5%407 / 710 vs 561 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynKasyanov 2.00/Fedoryshyn 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 16:00A. Kasyanov—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—9490
WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov—1113113I. Fedoryshyn—71190
LSep 4 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—13711782I. Fedoryshyn—1111911113
LSep 3 · 15:00A. Kasyanov—8780I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
WSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov—1111133I. Fedoryshyn—97110
LSep 1 · 16:00A. Kasyanov—76100I. Fedoryshyn—1111123
LAug 28 · 15:30A. Kasyanov—95120I. Fedoryshyn—1111143
WAug 28 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—11117113I. Fedoryshyn—971161
WAug 27 · 13:30A. Kasyanov—1081111113I. Fedoryshyn—12113772
WAug 25 · 16:00A. Kasyanov—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—9980
A. Kasyanov10
LSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov1.3396100M. Hubenko3.251111123WSep 8 · 17:34A. Kasyanov3.25148811113M. Baday1.33121111262WSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6310440I. Fedoryshyn1.441211113WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782
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