TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099886
Played Sep 8Finished
Artem Kasyanov
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412811811112116
Maksym Baday
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Maksym Baday below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 94 set 5, 11-6
94 points played in total.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 25–120 Maksym Baday Artem Kasyanov has won 25 of their 145 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Baday beat Kasyanov 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Baday)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 3.25 / Baday 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Baday)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13099886
Kasyanov3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 29 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Baday1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 242 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it96% 132 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 178 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasyanov4wins
AwayBaday6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBaday leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov66.7%4 of 6
AwayBaday100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov6Baday4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S2Kasyanov6Baday4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S3Kasyanov4Baday6n = 10Baday took 6 of 10
S4Kasyanov5Baday2n = 7Kasyanov took 5 of 7
S5Kasyanov0Baday4n = 4Baday took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasyanovBadayK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.040.0−1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovBadayBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 708 vs 558 / 73957.3%75.5%406 / 708 vs 558 / 739Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayKasyanov 3.25/Baday 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.4%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 13:00A. Kasyanov—61571762M. Baday—11131115113
WSep 1 · 13:00A. Kasyanov—11811113M. Baday—611541
LAug 28 · 17:30A. Kasyanov—115811102M. Baday—911117123
WAug 28 · 12:30A. Kasyanov—1111123M. Baday—99100
WAug 27 · 17:39A. Kasyanov—1611113M. Baday—14740
LAug 27 · 16:30A. Kasyanov—111181262M. Baday—791114113
LAug 21 · 17:49A. Kasyanov—611431M. Baday—11811113
LAug 21 · 15:30A. Kasyanov—91131352M. Baday—1191111113
LAug 20 · 16:30A. Kasyanov—9970M. Baday—1111113
WAug 18 · 16:30A. Kasyanov—14711113M. Baday—1211441
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113WSep 8 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.63117991A. Kasyanov1.4491111113LSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163
M. Baday10
WSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.201111113A. Lushchyk4.334680LSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn2.006111241M. Baday1.7311814113WSep 1 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111113S. Chuhai3.009890WSep 1 · 15:30M. Baday1.141311113A. Lushchyk5.0011570LSep 1 · 14:00M. Baday1.80411101182I. Fedoryshyn1.91115123113LSep 1 · 13:00M. Baday1.30611541A. Kasyanov3.4011811113WAug 28 · 17:30A. Kasyanov3.50115811102M. Baday1.28911117123
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