TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111504
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Ivanov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1189111181614––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRuslan Ivanov above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 16-14
Point 88 set 4, 16-14 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 57.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Ivanov 8–10 Ivan Fedoryshyn Ruslan Ivanov has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanov 1863 vs Fedoryshyn 1895
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanov 80% vs Fedoryshyn 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanov 60% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanov +1 · Fedoryshyn -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanov 2.10 / Fedoryshyn 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111504
Ivanov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog58% won 19 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back50% 9 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back50% 3 of 6
Fedoryshyn1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 201 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it85% 163 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanov3wins
AwayFedoryshyn7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFedoryshyn66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanov1Fedoryshyn9n = 10Fedoryshyn took 9 of 10
S2Ivanov5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivanov5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivanov4Fedoryshyn4n = 8split evenly
S5Ivanov2Fedoryshyn3n = 5Fedoryshyn took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanovFedoryshynI − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.942.3−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanovFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 99 vs 559 / 84066.7%66.6%66 / 99 vs 559 / 840Avg sets wonper match2.42.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynIvanov 2.10/Fedoryshyn 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov—7860I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
WSep 10 · 12:30R. Ivanov—481111113I. Fedoryshyn—11118892
WAug 28 · 17:00R. Ivanov—1211116113I. Fedoryshyn—14571162
LAug 28 · 12:00R. Ivanov—891191I. Fedoryshyn—11113113
LAug 27 · 14:30R. Ivanov—8940I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
WAug 21 · 17:22R. Ivanov—91111113I. Fedoryshyn—119791
LAug 20 · 14:30R. Ivanov—711101192I. Fedoryshyn—113126113
LAug 14 · 17:00R. Ivanov—415101182I. Fedoryshyn—1113129113
LAug 14 · 16:00R. Ivanov—115781I. Fedoryshyn—91111113
LAug 13 · 12:30R. Ivanov—51114962I. Fedoryshyn—1191211113
R. Ivanov10
WSep 11 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.28111547113S. Chuhai3.50713111162LSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981WSep 10 · 15:00A. Kasyanov1.73412371R. Ivanov2.00111011113WSep 10 · 14:00A. Lushchyk3.504780R. Ivanov1.281111113WSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5769130A. Kasyanov2.251111153WSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 15:30A. Lushchyk2.638760I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113WSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:30A. Kasyanov2.0098100I. Fedoryshyn1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113LSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151LAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113
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