TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111546
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Ivanov
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171513411711116
Serhii Chuhai
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeRuslan Ivanov to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Ivanov above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ruslan Ivanov at 76.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Ivanov 12–1 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Ivanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-1 in 13
Ivanov
Correct
gap of 11 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanov 1863 vs Chuhai 1775
Ivanov
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanov 80% vs Chuhai 100%
Chuhai
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanov 50% vs Chuhai 70%
Chuhai
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanov -1 · Chuhai +5
Chuhai
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Ivanov) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanov 1.28 / Chuhai 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Ivanov)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13111546
Ivanov1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 46 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Chuhai3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 66 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanov9wins
AwayChuhai1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderIvanov leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanov100%7 of 7
AwayChuhai33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanov7Chuhai3n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S2Ivanov7Chuhai3n = 10Ivanov took 7 of 10
S3Ivanov8Chuhai2n = 10Ivanov took 8 of 10
S4Ivanov5Chuhai2n = 7Ivanov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanovChuhaiI − CBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.932.6+6.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanovChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 99 vs 490 / 95866.7%51.2%66 / 99 vs 490 / 958Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanovIvanov 1.28/Chuhai 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Ivanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ivanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 12:00R. Ivanov—111547113S. Chuhai—713111162
WAug 21 · 12:00R. Ivanov—1111113S. Chuhai—5490
LAug 20 · 16:00R. Ivanov—812681S. Chuhai—111011113
WAug 13 · 17:34R. Ivanov—11511123S. Chuhai—7118101
WAug 13 · 15:00R. Ivanov—71111113S. Chuhai—117691
WAug 7 · 06:00R. Ivanov—1111113S. Chuhai—9890
WAug 6 · 14:30R. Ivanov—71113113S. Chuhai—1121131
WJul 31 · 04:30R. Ivanov—111111113S. Chuhai—713671
WJul 30 · 13:30R. Ivanov—1111113S. Chuhai—8980
WJul 24 · 10:30R. Ivanov—111011113S. Chuhai—912971
R. Ivanov10
WSep 11 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.1011911163I. Fedoryshyn1.678118141LSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 16:00R. Ivanov1.5331111113M. Hubenko2.38115981WSep 10 · 15:00A. Kasyanov1.73412371R. Ivanov2.00111011113WSep 10 · 14:00A. Lushchyk3.504780R. Ivanov1.281111113WSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WAug 28 · 17:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6114571162R. Ivanov2.201211116113LAug 28 · 16:30A. Kasyanov2.001111113R. Ivanov1.736590LAug 28 · 15:00M. Baday2.251191013113R. Ivanov1.57611121152LAug 28 · 14:00R. Ivanov1.6711840M. Baday2.101311113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113WSep 9 · 11:00S. Chuhai1.33111111113O. Ziakun3.25613771WSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113WSep 9 · 08:00S. Chuhai1.2211611113O. Syksa4.00811151WSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133WSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461
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