TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100435
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161113117117––
Oleksandr Ziakun
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 69.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 14–9 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Ziakun has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1780 vs Ziakun 1508
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 271 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 80% vs Ziakun 40%
Chuhai
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 70% vs Ziakun 50%
Chuhai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai +4 · Ziakun -2
Chuhai
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Chuhai) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 1.33 / Ziakun 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Chuhai)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100435
Chuhai1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 184 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it86% 137 of 159
Ziakun3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 88 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai6wins
AwayZiakun4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai80%4 of 5
AwayZiakun60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S2Chuhai6Ziakun4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S3Chuhai6Ziakun4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S4Chuhai6Ziakun3n = 9Chuhai took 6 of 9
S5Chuhai2Ziakun3n = 5Ziakun took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiZiakunC − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.039.9+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 966 vs 355 / 74850.9%47.5%492 / 966 vs 355 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiChuhai 1.33/Ziakun 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 07:30S. Chuhai—11115992O. Ziakun—961111113
WAug 14 · 07:00S. Chuhai—111011113O. Ziakun—812581
LAug 10 · 10:00S. Chuhai—961481O. Ziakun—111112113
WJul 20 · 04:30S. Chuhai—1212127113O. Ziakun—1410101172
WJul 17 · 04:30S. Chuhai—891111133O. Ziakun—111199112
WJul 9 · 10:30S. Chuhai—11117113O. Ziakun—861151
WJun 23 · 04:30S. Chuhai—1111113O. Ziakun—4860
LJun 18 · 07:30S. Chuhai—513111192O. Ziakun—111557113
LJun 2 · 07:30S. Chuhai—101161182O. Ziakun—124119113
WMay 28 · 06:00S. Chuhai—11118113O. Ziakun—341181
S. Chuhai10
WSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113WSep 9 · 08:00S. Chuhai1.2211611113O. Syksa4.00811151WSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133WSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113
O. Ziakun10
LSep 9 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5713913123O. Ziakun2.25111111101LSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251WSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761WSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113WSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652LSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282
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