TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100509
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118611111115––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 64 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 82.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 88–11 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Syksa has won 11 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
88-11 in 99
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 77 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1764 vs Syksa 1663
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 60% vs Syksa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 70% vs Syksa 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai +2 · Syksa +3
Syksa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Chuhai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 1.22 / Syksa 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Chuhai)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100509
Chuhai1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 184 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it86% 137 of 159
Syksa4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 56 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai9wins
AwaySyksa1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai100%6 of 6
AwaySyksa25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai6Syksa4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S2Chuhai8Syksa2n = 10Chuhai took 8 of 10
S3Chuhai6Syksa4n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S4Chuhai7Syksa1n = 8Chuhai took 7 of 8
S5Chuhai2Syksa1n = 3Chuhai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiSyksaC − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.330.8+11.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 964 vs 576 / 109850.8%52.5%490 / 964 vs 576 / 1098Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiChuhai 1.22/Syksa 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 08:30S. Chuhai—11116113O. Syksa—471181
WAug 31 · 06:30S. Chuhai—1112113O. Syksa—41030
WAug 28 · 05:30S. Chuhai—121111113O. Syksa—146261
WAug 24 · 09:00S. Chuhai—111110113O. Syksa—671221
WAug 17 · 06:00S. Chuhai—12119113O. Syksa—1051171
LAug 14 · 05:30S. Chuhai—61111682O. Syksa—117511113
WAug 10 · 05:00S. Chuhai—11811113O. Syksa—811951
WJul 31 · 08:30S. Chuhai—691111113O. Syksa—11116472
WJul 27 · 04:30S. Chuhai—1311911113O. Syksa—15611222
WJul 17 · 06:30S. Chuhai—1111113O. Syksa—6770
S. Chuhai10
WSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133WSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151WSep 8 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.5011816113A. Lushchyk1.507111461LSep 8 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.20691181A. Kasyanov1.6111117113WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113WSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113
O. Syksa10
WSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.577640O. Syksa2.251111113WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113
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