TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111008
Played Sep 11Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116411114911711
Serhii Chuhai
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 85 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 62.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 148–91 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 91 of their 239 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
148-91 in 239
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
gap of 57 in 239, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1882 vs Chuhai 1786
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Chuhai 80%
Chuhai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 50% vs Chuhai 70%
Chuhai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -2 · Chuhai +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.53 / Chuhai 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111008
Fedoryshyn1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 201 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it85% 163 of 191
Chuhai2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 66 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn8wins
AwayChuhai2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn100%5 of 5
AwayChuhai40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S2Fedoryshyn7Chuhai3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn6Chuhai4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn5Chuhai2n = 7Fedoryshyn took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiF − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.934.0+3.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 841 vs 491 / 95966.5%51.2%559 / 841 vs 491 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.53/Chuhai 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1211151S. Chuhai—14116113
WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn—117119113S. Chuhai—71171162
WSep 4 · 13:00I. Fedoryshyn—11115113S. Chuhai—491171
WSep 3 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—11116113S. Chuhai—961171
WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—111111113S. Chuhai—138961
WSep 1 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—91112113S. Chuhai—1151061
LAug 25 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—3930S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 25 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—912812113S. Chuhai—1110111072
WAug 21 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111153S. Chuhai—85130
WAug 20 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111113S. Chuhai—3580
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113LSep 11 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.1011911163I. Fedoryshyn1.678118141LSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5769130A. Kasyanov2.251111153WSep 10 · 17:00R. Ivanov2.107860I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113WSep 10 · 15:30A. Lushchyk2.638760I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113WSep 10 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.22121192113M. Hubenko4.00105111192WSep 10 · 13:30A. Kasyanov2.0098100I. Fedoryshyn1.731111123LSep 10 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711118892R. Ivanov2.10481111113WSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.539490A. Kasyanov2.381111113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 11 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.755790S. Chuhai1.401111113LSep 11 · 12:00R. Ivanov1.28111547113S. Chuhai3.50713111162WSep 9 · 11:00S. Chuhai1.33111111113O. Ziakun3.25613771WSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113WSep 9 · 08:00S. Chuhai1.2211611113O. Syksa4.00811151WSep 9 · 07:00M. Hubenko2.7566110S. Chuhai1.401111133WSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740LSep 8 · 17:11I. Fedoryshyn1.131111133S. Chuhai5.5067110LSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:00S. Chuhai2.5014116113I. Fedoryshyn1.501211151
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