TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121891
Played Sep 13Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611117511––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 68.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 33–98 Oleksandr Syksa Dmytro Prylepa has won 33 of their 131 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-98 in 131
Syksa
Correct
gap of 65 in 131, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1489 vs Syksa 1630
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Syksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Syksa 60%
Syksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +2 · Syksa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Syksa) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 2.63 / Syksa 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Syksa)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121891
Prylepa2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 48 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back11% 10 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Syksa1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 239 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it82% 160 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa1wins
AwaySyksa9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa33.3%1 of 3
AwaySyksa100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa0Syksa10n = 10Syksa took 10 of 10
S3Prylepa3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S4Prylepa1Syksa4n = 5Syksa took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaSyksaP − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.838.9−7.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 803 vs 576 / 109949.2%52.4%395 / 803 vs 576 / 1099Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaPrylepa 2.63/Syksa 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 08:30D. Prylepa2661280O. Syksa361114113
LSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2451090O. Syksa341112113
LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa41111301162O. Syksa45215116113
LSep 4 · 09:00D. Prylepa388911101O. Syksa4111117123
WAug 31 · 09:30D. Prylepa46119114113O. Syksa4471191162
LAug 28 · 07:00D. Prylepa378711111O. Syksa4411119133
LAug 24 · 10:30D. Prylepa32135591O. Syksa44111111113
LAug 23 · 08:00D. Prylepa218850O. Syksa331111113
LAug 20 · 09:30D. Prylepa2711790O. Syksa351311113
LAug 18 · 05:00D. Prylepa269980O. Syksa331111113
D. Prylepa10
WSep 13 · 12:00D. Prylepa2.631111123S. Aristarkhov1.4477100WSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113LSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861LSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280LSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman3.25111169113D. Prylepa1.3338111192LSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890LSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113
O. Syksa10
LSep 13 · 12:30O. Syksa2.63137413102M. Hubenko1.4411111111113LSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.1091111133O. Syksa1.671159111WSep 11 · 10:00O. Lyman4.501196101O. Syksa1.1771111123WSep 11 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.101281111102O. Syksa1.671011713123LSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142LSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.2011117113O. Syksa1.61851191WSep 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko3.401146101O. Syksa1.3061111123WSep 10 · 09:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.339680WSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113
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