TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111104
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111151191311––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 80 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 62.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 35–83 Oleksandr Syksa Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 35 of their 118 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-83 in 118
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 48 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1579 vs Syksa 1656
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 80% vs Syksa 60%
Kuzmenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 50% vs Syksa 70%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +4 · Syksa +2
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Syksa) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.10 / Syksa 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Syksa)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111104
Kuzmenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 106 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Syksa1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 239 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it82% 161 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko1wins
AwaySyksa9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko25%1 of 4
AwaySyksa100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzmenko3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S5Kuzmenko0Syksa4n = 4Syksa took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoSyksaK − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.142.8−5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 920 vs 581 / 110341.1%52.7%378 / 920 vs 581 / 1103Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaKuzmenko 2.10/Syksa 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.2%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko—11117772O. Syksa—881111113
LSep 7 · 07:00D. Kuzmenko—911861O. Syksa—11911113
LSep 2 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko—71211562O. Syksa—1110511113
LSep 1 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko—11861152O. Syksa—911118113
LAug 28 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko—58111162O. Syksa—111196113
LAug 27 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—721181O. Syksa—11117113
WAug 24 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko—13611113O. Syksa—1111571
LAug 21 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—1171071O. Syksa—31112113
LAug 18 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko—711681O. Syksa—11511113
LAug 17 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko—691191O. Syksa—11119113
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 11 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.009930D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WSep 11 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.3011119113O. Lyman3.40861151WSep 11 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.91610100D. Kuzmenko1.801112123WSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko1.911311113O. Kurylenko1.8011770LSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113LSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761LSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113
O. Syksa10
WSep 11 · 10:00O. Lyman4.501196101O. Syksa1.1771111123WSep 11 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.101281111102O. Syksa1.671011713123LSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142LSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.2011117113O. Syksa1.61851191WSep 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko3.401146101O. Syksa1.3061111123WSep 10 · 09:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.339680WSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280WSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180WSep 10 · 05:00O. Syksa1.6111119143S. Maliuk2.209711121WSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113
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