TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111111
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117117––––
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 65–94 Oleh Kurylenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 65 of their 159 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurylenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-94 in 159
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 29 in 159, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1519 vs Kurylenko 1444
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 20% vs Kurylenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 20% vs Kurylenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -4 · Kurylenko -1
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.91 / Kurylenko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111111
Kuzmenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 106 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Kurylenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 161 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it90% 75 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it81% 113 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko6wins
AwayKurylenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko80%4 of 5
AwayKurylenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko4Kurylenko6n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmenko6Kurylenko4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko5Kurylenko3n = 8Kuzmenko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoKuzmenko − KurylenkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.137.9−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 916 vs 494 / 99840.8%49.5%374 / 916 vs 494 / 998Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.91/Kurylenko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko—511113123O. Kurylenko—119711102
LSep 2 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko—2930O. Kurylenko—1111113
WAug 27 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko—11114113O. Kurylenko—391171
WAug 25 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko—11110143O. Kurylenko—9711121
LAug 24 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko—1112117102O. Kurylenko—914711123
WAug 21 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko—71111113O. Kurylenko—114941
WAug 18 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko—11812123O. Kurylenko—71110101
LAug 17 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko—11111181O. Kurylenko—13139113
LAug 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko—6830O. Kurylenko—1111113
WAug 10 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko—11711113O. Kurylenko—811751
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 9 · 10:30D. Kuzmenko3.4011146101M. Hubenko1.30131211123LSep 9 · 09:00D. Kuzmenko6.506490S. Chuhai1.101111113LSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.1011117772O. Syksa1.67881111113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Kuzmenko1.7371111113O. Ziakun2.00115761LSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113WSep 10 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko2.635111031O. Kurylenko1.4411612113LSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113LSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180LSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.61611171O. Lyman2.2011116113LSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.61820111142O. Lyman2.201118134113WSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113LSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133WSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113
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