TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094129
Played Sep 8Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 77.2%
54 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 7–38 Oleh Kurylenko Viktor Ziakun has won 7 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kurylenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-38 in 45
Kurylenko
Correct
gap of 31 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1341 vs Kurylenko 1493
Kurylenko
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Kurylenko 20%
Ziakun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 70% vs Kurylenko 40%
Ziakun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -1 · Kurylenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kurylenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 3.25 / Kurylenko 1.33
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kurylenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094129
Ziakun3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Kurylenko1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 160 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it92% 75 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it82% 112 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun3wins
AwayKurylenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun33.3%2 of 6
AwayKurylenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun6Kurylenko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun3Kurylenko7n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun4Kurylenko6n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun3Kurylenko4n = 7Kurylenko took 4 of 7
S5Ziakun0Kurylenko3n = 3Kurylenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunKurylenkoZ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.238.4−3.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 625 vs 495 / 99559.8%49.8%374 / 625 vs 495 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoZiakun 3.25/Kurylenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun—7590O. Kurylenko—1111113
LAug 27 · 08:00V. Ziakun—12117532O. Kurylenko—1091111113
LAug 11 · 08:00V. Ziakun—108110O. Kurylenko—1211133
LJul 28 · 05:30V. Ziakun—11740O. Kurylenko—1311113
LJul 21 · 05:30V. Ziakun—116661O. Kurylenko—91111113
WJul 14 · 05:30V. Ziakun—11119113O. Kurylenko—581171
LJul 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun—117117102O. Kurylenko—711611123
LJun 26 · 08:00V. Ziakun—11611582O. Kurylenko—611311113
WJun 12 · 05:30V. Ziakun—111111113O. Kurylenko—813731
WJun 5 · 09:30V. Ziakun—51311113O. Kurylenko—1111671
V. Ziakun10
LSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113LSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113WSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.