TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105672
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119911911811
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 56.2%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 44–73 Dmytro Prylepa Oleh Kurylenko has won 44 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-73 in 117
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 29 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1455 vs Prylepa 1491
Prylepa
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 20% vs Prylepa 40%
Prylepa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 30% vs Prylepa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +1 · Prylepa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 2.10 / Prylepa 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105672
Kurylenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Prylepa1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 132 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it99% 64 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it86% 108 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko4wins
AwayPrylepa6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko60%3 of 5
AwayPrylepa80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko5Prylepa5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurylenko3Prylepa7n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S3Kurylenko6Prylepa4n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurylenko3Prylepa5n = 8Prylepa took 5 of 8
S5Kurylenko1Prylepa2n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoPrylepaK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.140.1−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 997 vs 393 / 79849.6%49.3%494 / 997 vs 393 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaKurylenko 2.10/Prylepa 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Kurylenko—11412842D. Prylepa—9111011113
WSep 4 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—11911113D. Prylepa—311951
WAug 31 · 05:00O. Kurylenko—121511113D. Prylepa—1017581
LAug 24 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—881151D. Prylepa—11119113
LAug 18 · 07:00O. Kurylenko—7121081D. Prylepa—111012113
LAug 13 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—5880D. Prylepa—1111113
LAug 5 · 07:00O. Kurylenko—121011362D. Prylepa—1012511113
WAug 3 · 11:00O. Kurylenko—111158113D. Prylepa—73111182
WJul 29 · 07:00O. Kurylenko—111111123D. Prylepa—1389101
LJul 27 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—5760D. Prylepa—1111113
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 10 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko2.635111031O. Kurylenko1.4411612113LSep 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.731010131192S. Maliuk2.001212119113LSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa1.611213113O. Kurylenko2.20101180LSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.61611171O. Lyman2.2011116113LSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.61820111142O. Lyman2.201118134113WSep 8 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91124371O. Kurylenko1.80101111113LSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133WSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113LSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113LSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113
D. Prylepa10
LSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861LSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280LSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman3.25111169113D. Prylepa1.3338111192LSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890LSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881
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