TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105636
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113118611911119
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 75.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 8–24 Dmytro Prylepa Oleksandr Lyman has won 8 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-24 in 32
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 16 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1460 vs Prylepa 1471
Prylepa
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 60% vs Prylepa 40%
Lyman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 40% vs Prylepa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman +3 · Prylepa -2
Lyman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Prylepa) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 3.25 / Prylepa 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105636
Lyman3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 58 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back16% 20 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Prylepa1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 132 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it99% 64 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it86% 108 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman3wins
AwayPrylepa7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLyman60%3 of 5
AwayPrylepa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman5Prylepa5n = 10split evenly
S2Lyman5Prylepa5n = 10split evenly
S3Lyman3Prylepa7n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S4Lyman0Prylepa8n = 8Prylepa took 8 of 8
S5Lyman3Prylepa2n = 5Lyman took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanPrylepaL − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.8−1.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 614 vs 394 / 80244.8%49.1%275 / 614 vs 394 / 802Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaLyman 3.25/Prylepa 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:30O. Lyman—111169113D. Prylepa—38111192
LSep 6 · 11:00O. Lyman—117881D. Prylepa—81111113
LSep 4 · 08:00O. Lyman—711651D. Prylepa—11611113
LAug 20 · 10:30O. Lyman—11411692D. Prylepa—611811113
WJun 18 · 11:00O. Lyman—1291113113D. Prylepa—101121522
LJun 15 · 10:30O. Lyman—1011119102D. Prylepa—128811123
LJun 10 · 07:00O. Lyman—13890D. Prylepa—1511113
LJun 3 · 08:00O. Lyman—77130D. Prylepa—1111153
WMay 30 · 15:00O. Lyman—111159113D. Prylepa—82111152
LMay 27 · 09:30O. Lyman—9131291D. Prylepa—111114113
O. Lyman10
WSep 10 · 11:30O. Lyman2.50911117113S. Maliuk1.5011991182LSep 10 · 09:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.339680WSep 10 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko3.00811681O. Lyman1.3611711113WSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.61611171O. Lyman2.2011116113WSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.61820111142O. Lyman2.201118134113WSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113LSep 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun3.501110611113O. Lyman1.2871211852LSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881
D. Prylepa10
WSep 10 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2.1011119982D. Prylepa1.67991111113LSep 10 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.10111111113D. Prylepa1.67613861LSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa1.501114113D. Prylepa2.5061280LSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890LSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881
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