TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094599
Played Sep 8Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171012611118115
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:42 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lyman to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Lyman at 76.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 14–66 Oleksandr Lyman Viktor Ziakun has won 14 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Lyman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-66 in 80
Lyman
Wrong
gap of 52 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1341 vs Lyman 1400
Lyman
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Lyman 20%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 60% vs Lyman 30%
Ziakun
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -2 · Lyman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Lyman) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 3.50 / Lyman 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Lyman)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094599
Ziakun3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Lyman1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 31 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun1wins
AwayLyman9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun33.3%1 of 3
AwayLyman100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun3Lyman7n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun3Lyman7n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun3Lyman7n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S4Ziakun1Lyman6n = 7Lyman took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunLymanZ − LBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.138.7−7.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 625 vs 273 / 61159.8%44.7%374 / 625 vs 273 / 611Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LymanZiakun 3.50/Lyman 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.4%
Lyman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:30V. Ziakun—10840O. Lyman—1211113
LAug 27 · 06:00V. Ziakun—6131161O. Lyman—11159113
LJun 12 · 11:00V. Ziakun—5101161O. Lyman—11126113
LMay 20 · 05:00V. Ziakun—11126542O. Lyman—8101111113
LApr 8 · 11:00V. Ziakun—9570O. Lyman—1111113
LMar 31 · 09:30V. Ziakun—115671O. Lyman—71111113
LFeb 25 · 08:00V. Ziakun—5970O. Lyman—1111113
LFeb 18 · 08:00V. Ziakun—1181161O. Lyman—13115113
LFeb 4 · 08:00V. Ziakun—911951O. Lyman—11711113
WJan 27 · 08:00V. Ziakun—11119113O. Lyman—391171
V. Ziakun10
LSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123LSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113LSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101
O. Lyman10
WSep 8 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.7551160O. Lyman1.401113113LSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113
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