TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13093987
Played Sep 8Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111012––––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:04 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 79.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 6–33 Serhii Maliuk Viktor Ziakun has won 6 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Maliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-33 in 39
Maliuk
Correct
gap of 27 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1354 vs Maliuk 1496
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 70% vs Maliuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Maliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Maliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 4.00 / Maliuk 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Maliuk)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13093987
Ziakun4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Maliuk1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 64 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun2wins
AwayMaliuk8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun20%1 of 5
AwayMaliuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun3Maliuk7n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun3Maliuk7n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S4Ziakun2Maliuk5n = 7Maliuk took 5 of 7
S5Ziakun2Maliuk4n = 6Maliuk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMaliukZ − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.542.6−6.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 626 vs 243 / 49059.9%49.6%375 / 626 vs 243 / 490Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukZiakun 4.00/Maliuk 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 07:30V. Ziakun—11751142S. Maliuk—411116113
WAug 27 · 05:00V. Ziakun—411911113S. Maliuk—11911932
LJul 28 · 11:00V. Ziakun—781171S. Maliuk—11117113
LJul 21 · 09:00V. Ziakun—1110127102S. Maliuk—5121011123
WJul 14 · 07:30V. Ziakun—111139113S. Maliuk—97111182
LJul 8 · 10:30V. Ziakun—61060S. Maliuk—1112113
LJun 5 · 06:30V. Ziakun—11118352S. Maliuk—391111113
LMay 20 · 11:30V. Ziakun—74120S. Maliuk—1111143
LApr 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun—48110S. Maliuk—1111133
LMar 31 · 11:30V. Ziakun—13912672S. Maliuk—11111011113
V. Ziakun10
LSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102WSep 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun3.501110611113O. Lyman1.2871211852LSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113LSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101
S. Maliuk10
LSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113WSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113LSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113
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