TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094446
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113611––––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lyman to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 57 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lyman at 69.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 13–67 Oleksandr Lyman Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 13 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lyman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-67 in 80
Lyman
Correct
gap of 54 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1379 vs Lyman 1387
Lyman
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 60% vs Lyman 20%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 50% vs Lyman 30%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko +1 · Lyman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Lyman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 2.75 / Lyman 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Lyman)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13094446
Miroshnychenko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog24% won 81 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back13% 28 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 116
Lyman1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 31 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko2wins
AwayLyman8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenko25%1 of 4
AwayLyman83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Miroshnychenko6Lyman4n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko3Lyman7n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko3Lyman5n = 8Lyman took 5 of 8
S5Miroshnychenko0Lyman3n = 3Lyman took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoLymanM − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.940.2−4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 861 vs 273 / 61235.3%44.6%304 / 861 vs 273 / 612Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LymanMiroshnychenko 2.75/Lyman 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Lyman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko—1151211142O. Lyman—711146163
LSep 1 · 07:00S. Miroshnychenko—611681O. Lyman—11611113
LAug 20 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko—611591O. Lyman—11511113
WJun 18 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko—1111113O. Lyman—8790
LJun 17 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko—911781O. Lyman—11911113
LJun 15 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko—11511882O. Lyman—611711113
LJun 12 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko—11671172O. Lyman—611116113
LJun 11 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko—8460O. Lyman—1111113
LJun 10 · 05:00S. Miroshnychenko—711491O. Lyman—11811113
WJun 4 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko—51511113O. Lyman—1113881
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 8 · 11:30S. Maliuk1.409111751S. Miroshnychenko2.7511419113WSep 8 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.409117111S. Miroshnychenko2.7511511133LSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652WSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.4011812113S. Miroshnychenko2.756111081WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251
O. Lyman10
WSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.61820111142O. Lyman2.201118134113LSep 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun3.501110611113O. Lyman1.2871211852LSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.611181071O. Lyman2.2061112113LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142
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