TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094536
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111157111113––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 69.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 90–55 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 55 of their 145 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kurylenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
90-55 in 145
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 35 in 145, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1493 vs Miroshnychenko 1362
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 40% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 40% vs Miroshnychenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +1 · Miroshnychenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kurylenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.40 / Miroshnychenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Kurylenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094536
Kurylenko1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 160 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it92% 75 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it82% 112 of 137
Miroshnychenko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 81 of 335
Down 0–1, comes back13% 28 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko9wins
AwayMiroshnychenko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko100%7 of 7
AwayMiroshnychenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S2Kurylenko8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Kurylenko took 8 of 10
S3Kurylenko8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Kurylenko took 8 of 10
S4Kurylenko4Miroshnychenko1n = 5Kurylenko took 4 of 5
S5Kurylenko2Miroshnychenko1n = 3Kurylenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoMiroshnychenkoK − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.831.4+9.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 995 vs 303 / 86049.8%35.2%495 / 995 vs 303 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.40/Miroshnychenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—6680
WAug 21 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—8780
WAug 18 · 09:00O. Kurylenko—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—8890
LAug 11 · 11:00O. Kurylenko—714111392S. Miroshnychenko—1116911113
WAug 10 · 09:00O. Kurylenko—1311113S. Miroshnychenko—11730
WAug 5 · 11:00O. Kurylenko—11713113S. Miroshnychenko—8111141
WAug 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—813911113S. Miroshnychenko—111111662
WJul 30 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—7530
WJul 29 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—1011118123S. Miroshnychenko—124911102
WJul 28 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—11118113S. Miroshnychenko—771121
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113LSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113LSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113WSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.44891111113S. Miroshnychenko2.6311118652WSep 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun3.25118871S. Miroshnychenko1.3361111113WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.4011812113S. Miroshnychenko2.756111081WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133WSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113
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